Monday, 18 June 2012

So Pompey finish bottom of the EPL yet under the Duckworth Lewis Argentine rule we didnt get relegated?!?!?


Have you ever as a man tried to explain the offside rule to a woman only to be left with a blank face staring back at you? That’s not meant as a sexist remark, there are of course women who understand the offside rule equally as well as men do in every single walk of life across every continent of the globe. But for those women who have no interest in football at all in can be somewhat of a struggle if and when they ever do choose to ask what the rule actually means. Well today a brand new discovery with complications that surround footballing laws and regulations around the globe that even us men will be scratching our heads over. Welcome ladies and gentlemen to the world of Argentinean football.

Not since the Duckworth Lewis Method was introduced to the game of cricket has there been a method of deciding relegation from a countries top league as complicated as takes place within the Argentinean League. In the English Premier League every side must play each other home and away and at the end of the season the three clubs with the lowest points total will be relegated and be replaced by the top two sides in the Championship and one side who have become one side of four to progress through a playoff system at the end of the season having finished between 3rd and 6th place respectively. A lottery of sorts if you will.

It may not be the most fair system to determine what happens in terms of promotion but neither will winning the World Cup or Champions League on penalties after so many games. This is football and every team starts every competition aware of the rules. To lose out on a penalty shoot out as fan is always harsh. To possibly win a league title and still be relegated will take some explaining and even having spent the day trying to work out the finer details I’m not sure even I understand totally what happens several thousand miles away in Argentina’s top Division.

This all started with a BBC blog about the Argentine club Tigre who could possibly win the league title and be relegated in the same season? Sorry? Say that again? You could win the title and yet relegated in the same season? Erm?!?!? My own team Portsmouth found themselves in the final of the FA Cup and lost and were relegated in the same season but to win the league and be relegated how does that compute and configure in the grand scale of things? I sure as hell cannot tell you what the Duckworth and Lewis method is in the game of cricket. I think I can just about start to understand what happens in the Argentine league to meet the rules of who stays up and who gets relegated. Give me a salt grinder, a pepper pot and a ketchup bottle over dinner to explain to a non football female fan of football than trying to work out how the Argentine league system actually works in terms of relegation from the top tier.

To quote Tim Vickery and his BBC blog


This apparent absurdity is possible because radically different time frames are used at either end of the table. Winning the title is a sprint. The campaign is just 19 games long with all the teams facing each other once, meaning two separate championships can be played each year.

Relegation, meanwhile, is a marathon. It is worked out on an average of points accumulated over the course of six championships or three years (teams have their points divided by the number of games played - 114 for those who have spent the last three years in the first division, 76 for those present in the last two and 38 for the clubs promoted a year ago).

Are you still with me at this juncture? No neither am I in fairness but if the Argentine league can be played twice in one season equivalent to the EPL then the same equation can apply by simply doubling the equation and working out season by season that if the same rules applied in the English leagues who would have been relegated and who would have found themselves in a playoff position to fight for the top flight survival. Did Tim Vickery not mention that point? Yes it gets even more complicated.

So in the English Premier League last season; Wolves, Bolton and Blackburn were relegated and this season they will be replaced by Reading, Southampton and West Ham. That’s quite simple. If the same rules applied in the EPL as in Argentina then Wolves and QPR would have been relegated – Yes QPR Survived. Reading and Southampton would have been promoted. Bolton and Wigan would have faced West Ham and Birmingham in a playoff situation and despite finishing second bottom Blackburn Rovers wouldn’t have been relegated. Are you all still following this?

Take the season before under the same ruling; Wolves would have already been relegated to be joined jointly with Blackpool and Birmingham. I can only surmise that there’s a rule about results during the season and a count back system. No I’m not following it either but one of the four mentioned clubs plus West Brom would have faced either Welsh teams Swansea City or Cardiff City in a playoff situation.

West Ham, Birmingham and Blackpool were eventually relegated. So not far off but potentially either Birmingham or Blackpool could have stayed up.

I’m as lost as you are so don’t panic.

So go back to the season where Pompey where relegated having been docked points for going into administration and having finished bottom of the league. Under the Argentinean league structure we wouldn’t have been automatically relegated. Burnley and Hull would have occupied the bottom two positions and Nottingham Forest and Cardiff would have been the contenders in the play off slots. Wolves would have once more taken one of the playoff slots and I think we would have taken the last slot if results home and away against Bolton would have counted. Again I’m not sure but I can surmise that despite finishing bottom of the league and having points deducted we wouldn’t have been totally down and out given our previous two league finishes.

Now if anyone having read all that can one hundred and ten per cent tell me if what I’ve said in this blog is totally correct then you’ve just had the day I’ve spent trying to work it out in comparison. My dad before his retirement was Chief Accountant of the local council for many years before he retired.

I do not claim to know how the Duckworth and Lewis method works in cricket or how the relegation rule works in Argentinean football.

Buts let’s just say if I have got the basic notion of how it works that Portsmouth FC despite being docked nine points for entering administration and finishing bottom of the league wouldn’t have seen us relegated that season if Argentinean rules had applied.

As a son of Irish heritage could I argue that the hand of God Might have ruled in our favour per se had we not have a simple rule of three up three down? Just maybe…

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